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Title: On China Beat, Media Out-Bungles Trump
Published: 2017-02-15
Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bOp8gMEPSXA
Title: On China Beat, Media Out-Bungles Trump
Published: 2017-02-15
Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bOp8gMEPSXA
1/45
I I'm Peter leave for news but China watch anti drug narratives dominated coverage of trump's call with China's xi Jinping and meetings with Japan's shins audit but it looks like the media messed and messed up some of the big stories but first at last week's China watch I said I don't be an idiot Joan you don't test that I CBM toward the United States well it2/45
wasn't a dummy the DPRK did to a missile test as expected but not an ICBM stead they fired a medium range missile that splash down in the ocean between North Korea and Japan and avoided directly antagonizing the United States pretty good back to trump it was a busy week for the trumpet ministration in Asia secretary of defense matters swung through Asia and reaffirmed the core U.3/45
S. security policies in North Korea Japan and the South China Sea Donald Trump sent a letter made a phone call with China's president xi Jinping and trump hosted Japan's prime minister Shinzo either it was a good week for professionalism continuity and moderation in U. S. Asia policy antitrust media had to dig a little deeper for the necessary antitrust narratives we'll start with the latest news the4/45
Abbe trump press conference in Washington on February tenth this offense seem to cause some heartburn to the never trump sector because trump did not play his assigned role of buffoon held in contempt by the entire world instead he was reasonably controlled president eat and in a position of advantage in this exchanges with a very deferential prime minister up who would seek to asleep praised Donald's golf5/45
game journalists had to make do with mocking the prolonged trump out a hand shake which had to be held for an uncomfortable nineteen seconds to accommodate the photographers and obvious reaction as with the trump up a press conference for me it was most notable for what it didn't pass what was missing was a lot of plot or about east Asian security in fact one truck got6/45
a question about security or the South China Sea he often just blew right by it in order to talk at length about what really seems to be on his mind the economy and jobs I got the impression that slotting a couple more Japanese auto plants into the United States it's going to work wonders for the US Japan relationship prime minister how they got that impression too7/45
the main takeaway from the visit was the kick off of the U. S. Japan economic dialogue the promise hence gigantic pension fund it's going to invest in U. S. infrastructure projects and help create something hundred thousand U. S. jobs fake news there I'm sure it looks to me like tribes Asian coyotes right now our economic detaining wins on investment and trade that he can use to8/45
order supporters and obtain political traction for his presidency and that's probably what he's looking at was China right now a mixture of threats and firmness to get the P. R. C. to open his wallet and give the trump administration some wins in exchange for a reasonably good relations setting up an economic competition between Japan and China to bid for the favorable attention of the United States9/45
probably not the dumbest thing truck has ever done and I don't think trust interested in screwing up that scenario right now by fighting a war to push back China which brings us to the truck she phone call that took place on Thursday February nine hero makes the point the looks like US foreign policy reporting has deteriorated under trump that's because trump has not only rejected Obama10/45
policy also rejected Obama's advisers Obama think tanks and Obama journalists the big U. S. papers like The New York Times and Washington post are in a difficult position trying to maintain their credibility as authoritative news sources on American politics at the same time there in in adversarial relationship with the president and his administration I think some of what you read today's news Somers informed speculation some11/45
is wishful thinking some as well poisoning by journalists with no access interviewing ex officials with no access and think tanks with no access quality can suffer the big China news in the middle of the week was the trumpet said a friendly letter to she can pick a multitude of outlets spun this is some combination of snub and blunder trump was telephoning numerous world leaders but somehow12/45
couldn't get on the phone with she well the Chinese foreign ministry said China highly appreciated the note so a lot of friendly things and when asked about the snub angle stated this kind of remark is meaningless not to meaningless for The New York Times you ran one of those stories about how she was shunning trump data call actually went down drunk others copy of The New13/45
York Times and pounced the times defense was that the paper got printed before the call intro goddess copy after the call whatever a relevant point that the times was completely blindsided by the call and had to scramble to update its coverage one can also speculate that maybe the New York times is getting sand bagged a team truck in other words the times was getting fed this14/45
information as to the progress and temple of the talks in order to discredit it so when you read the papers today you have to consider the possibility that not only is big media access deteriorated porters or maybe also getting their chains maliciously yanked by the trump people they can talk to a similar pattern of reportage occurred with the read out of the trunk she phone call15/45
which included a positive trump statement on the one China policy the one China policy end of the day it's an indication that the United States will not recognize an independent Taiwan since the US government read out of the truck call it knowledge the one China policy most outlets presented it as an embarrassing backtrack by truck trump had previously said everything Clooney one China on the table16/45
well it's time for some readout parsing first of all it is a tradition that China and the United States each provide different readouts to presidential phone calls that way each party gets to emphasize the point it feels are important and fudge the ones that might embarrass it in front of its domestic audience on the one China policy here's what the Chinese set Xinhua official Chinese news17/45
agency trump said he fully understands the high significance of the U. S. government's pursuit of the one China policy adding that the US government it here's to the one China policy here's what the US government set president trump agreed at the request of president she's honor our one China policy now contrast trumps agreed to she's request line exit statement that the Obama administration in December twenty18/45
sixteen we remain firmly committed to our one China policy in comparison trump statement makes it look like trump graciously doing she Genting a favor and quite frankly is not super respectful presenting she'd as a supplicant it also sounds like honoring our one China policy is a matter of trump's personal prerogative and not acknowledgement of the core US policy unsurprisingly the U. S. read out is not19/45
being quoted in the Chinese media as far as I can tell and it is important to note that our one China policy is not your one China policy or the one China policy our one China policy is that the U. S. respects and acknowledges the P. R. C. position that there is only one China but does not accept that drunken work that back pretty much anytime20/45
he wants still on the table in other works so was team trump desperately spinning some last minute trump capitulation I tend to think the Chinese and the trump administrations have been negotiating the conditions of the call spin in the readouts for sometime there was some heated maybe vitriolic back and forth and that's probably why the call was delayed so long trunks real bottom line on the21/45
one China policy had already been delivered by secretary of state rex to listen as a written follow up to his testimony at his confirmation hearing this was not a public statement by the way I'm guessing because T. trump was still negotiating with team she tell us in statement was handed to senator carton but the Senate foreign relations committee at leaked by a member of the committee22/45
staff who wanted to get to listen statements on climate change into the wild U. S. China diplomatic confidentiality be damned as to what China to listen statement reportedly said that United States should continue to uphold its one China policy note the word should by the way to listen is credited by some with persuading truck to get beyond should and issue the positive statement on the one23/45
China policy I think to listen at some help for one thing on February three the Chinese ministry of foreign affairs announced that national security adviser Michael Flynn had been in telephone consultations Chinese state councilor Yang future that Flynn's request maybe US and Chinese negotiators worked out a consensus on the statement call and the read out and the signal that everything was cool and the phone call24/45
could be done was a letter from trump to she earlier in the week speaking of consensus there was an uproar in the sinus here after the Financial Times reported that in the phone call trumpet endorsed the nineteen ninety two consensus that however is a consensus not between the United States and China it's a consensus between Taiwan and China and also one the current Taiwan government has25/45
absolutely refused for undercutting Taiwan president's hiding one on the nineteen ninety two consensus would have got it Taiwan's mainland diplomacy and revealed trump Taiwan policy is a hollow mockery it also would have been a big story from the phone call that pretty major diplomatic blunder a tragedy for Taiwan strong evidence trumps reckless ability and unreliability however the idea that trump would raise the obscure nineteen ninety26/45
two consensus in which the US has zero standing didn't make much sense it looks like I did the Financial Times with the Financial Times source incorrectly conflated America's one China policy with the Taiwan nineteen ninety two consensus trying to explain what was going on Taiwan's government insisted that the truck team rather than stabbing Taiwan in the back was actually keeping Taiwan in the loop it seems27/45
the Financial Times subsequently removed in nineteen ninety two reference from its report without notice or explanation so it probably owe the Taiwan government an apology maybe it age of underwear in the end the trunk she phone call looks like a negotiated outcome both sides could spin this went Dudley getting trumps positive statement on the one China policy was the big get the Chinese were looking for28/45
but it looks like trump didn't give up much if anything as to the timing of the tribe she call it makes sense for matters to visit Asia first and a firm bedrock US relations with key allies before dealing with China which is what happened also I know how the call went down just hours before the trial of the meeting if trump was struggling to China would29/45
he do that just before he met with Abbe or do you want to put all day on notice Japan is in America's only game in Asia who capitulated trump where she or nobody it's an honest question regarding the spin in the papers the Chinese aren't quite shunning trump and waiting for him to call on his knees and they don't seem to be relying on grex tillers30/45
and the state department to get their message across in addition to the Flynn contact with young gesture also work to establish informal channels to Donald Trump one of them notoriously through Jared Kushner develop a truck Jared Kushner at partnered with Chinese heavyweights in this real estate business in the past cooling in investment from Alibaba as Jack ma and one of these funds now according to Bloomberg31/45
as adviser to trump Kushner's holding an extensive ongoing dialogue China's ambassador to the United States sweet Tenkai Kushner's wife waga tried many well publicized it favorably received new year's call China's Washington embassy on February third with her Mandarin speaking daughter she was met by ambassador actually and the longer posted a video of her daughter singing a new year's and but more significantly perhaps China is undoubtedly32/45
using wallstreet super duper big shot Stephen Schwartz VIP access to trump Schwartzman is the CEO the Blackstone group private equity for one of the biggest in the world it's got seventy one billion dollars in assets under management Blackstone was a major investment destination for China's sovereign wealth fund when it was set up Blackstone has done sixteen billion dollars in China related business in the last four33/45
years another words during the sheet here in addition to his business dealings with the P. R. C. Schwartzman personally as a high philanthropic profile within China with the Schwartzman's scholars program it's a big deal Schwartzman funded with one hundred million dollars of his own money plus three hundred fifty million he raised from other sources specifically modeled on the Rhodes Scholarship and is supposed to cultivate the34/45
future leaders of the U. S. Asian partnership it's based in China Tsinghua university region pings alma mater only U. S. side Schwartzman's not just a member of Donald trump's DG could policy for he's the chairman and he refused to step down despite criticism from the Schwartzman scholars for cozying up the truck according to Nikkei Japanese business news outlet Schwartzman China's great hope for highest level access35/45
to the trump administration Schwartzman lunch with xi Jinping at Dave us a couple weeks ago and as the New York times recorded Schwartzman met at the White House with Donald Trump on February six wonder what they talked about I got an idea maybe they talked about China so maybe there are some grownups proficiently executing a mainstream China policy and maybe some of the media doesn't know36/45
very much about it maybe one of the most important takeaways from this week is that the media is sometimes flying blind on trump coverage sourcing be viewed critically and carefully I found that the most useful and objective English language reporting on truck Asia policies coming out of Japan right now the Asahi my nichi Japan times especially Nika access related trump's could seem to be going to37/45
the Financial Times which is now owned by Micah I don't know if that's a coincidence or not of course the main destination for insightful news and analysis on Asia is news but but you already knew that as to where all this is headed as I previously said I think trump's first priority in Asians business right now he doesn't want to lead in Asia as the picketers38/45
hoped he just wants to profit from Asia diplomatically economically politically by extorting trade concessions China but I suspect drums Asia moves are short term tactic I think trump wants to score some investment trade deals to back up his election talk and avoid crushing losses the twenty eighteen mid term elections war with China maybe that's why trump's spoken turn unfortunately trumps moderate Asia policies bad news I39/45
think for Iran and the Middle East and probably Yemen for a Republican president particularly for a Republican president they high unfavorable any rating strong America security posture is important trump wants to go into the mid terms with that commander in chief or and Asia is off the table war wise maybe that means earlier confrontation in the Middle East eighty with Iran almost certainly over Yemen as40/45
I discussed last week on China watch escalation with Iran will inevitably bring trump into conflict with China which is an important economic and diplomatic ally of Iran and the dilemma for America's Iran sanctions strategy I have a piece up on the news but website planning America's unending sanctions war on Iran and the tight rope trump in China we'll both have to walk if Iran heats up41/45
speaking of sanctions Iranian media reported last week on the eighteen billion dollars in Iranian oil money that'd been parked in China to evade sanctions Iran wants to get it out of China but apparently can't an indication perhaps that is the P. R. C. tries to get too close to trump on Iran policy it's going to be the subject of a lot of embarrassing more than embarrassing42/45
current and sanction of revelations sending its clandestine economic ties with Iran really a note on the difference between good old news but style independent media and the other kind last year was a campaign by China hawks in the United Kingdom to try to block one of the cornerstone deals of the UK PRC relationship Hinckley see nuclear power station former British Foreign Secretary Malcolm Rifkind Gleason carpet43/45
in the telegraph declaring Chinese participation in the plant mated and unacceptable security risk turns out the op ed is written by a conservative think tank called the Henry Jackson's and they weren't writing it for risk even for themselves turns out Henry Jackson society had a monthly contract to do anti PRC propaganda the client was Japanese embassy in London be careful what you read and where you44/45
read it that's all for this week thanks for watching if you're watching this on you to go to news but dot com you'll find exclusive content available only to the news but community I dearly for news but China watch for just a small subscription fee you can become a member of the news but community and help keep this website running your subscription will provide you with