ad-free
A marketplace for speech.
82,434 Hours of Speech
help
help
516,067 Transcriptions
add title (free)
add title (free)
406 Sources
add source €0.99
add source €0.99
Search:
Newsbud
Title: Know Your Enemy! Not ChinaXi Jinping!
Published: 2019-06-05
Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r5nwesP8HjM
Title: Know Your Enemy! Not ChinaXi Jinping!
Published: 2019-06-05
Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r5nwesP8HjM
1/42
[Music] hello I am Peter Lee for News Bud's China watch this week on China watch know your enemy not China Xi Jinping America's confrontation with the People's Republic of China is heating up not just the trade war and the 25% tariffs on two hundred billion dollars in Chinese goods announced by Donald Trump not just the release and promotion of an ultra hawk Pentagon assessment of China's2/42
military capabilities the real sign we're getting serious about China is the appearance of the designated boogey man Xi Jinping to personify elite US anxiety and anger concerning China / a New York Times op-ed Xi Jinping wanted global power he overshot Washington Post how she overplayed his hand with America little further down the food chain Tom Rogan wrote in The Washington Examiner Chinese President Xi Jinping intends3/42
to destroy the us-led international system of fair Commerce under the democratic rule of law he aims to replace it with one of intellectual theft and feudal mercantilism indeed Xi Jinping has instituted a cult of personality and abolished term limits for the largely symbolic Chinese presidency so he can serve indefinitely and become a focus of national unity beyond the collective leadership model so he deserves some of4/42
these criticisms however it looks to me like the us focus on Xi Jinping has more to do with ratcheting up adversarial propaganda in order to personify our hostility to China into one easily identifiable symbol this framing presents the alluring myth that our problems are just this one evil guy you know like Putin like Medora Kim jong-un Assad Qaddafi Saddam Duterte am i leaving anyone out oh5/42
yeah Castro Ortega Khomeini Khomeini Ahmadinejad a yen day almost forgotten Noriega in Milosevic it's also designed to deliver the message to the easily deluded inside China that if they turn on Xi Jinping it's all going to be back to buttercups and moonbeams with the United States so you've got a PSYOP targeting Chinese opinion in addition to an agitprop campaign targeting the as-yet china war unenthusiastic US6/42
public as the spectator put it our real problem with China shi Jin ping long story short if you're reading a story that should be about China but instead it personifies China as Xi Jinping it's safe to assume it's an up cobbled together by the Pentagon and the CIA and propagated by a small army of co-operative jur knows the crisis in us-china trade negotiations has been revealing7/42
as to us-china hawk attitudes and intentions on one level the crisis is standard-issue Trump the Chinese are anxious to make a deal so a deal is almost done Trump on the other hand isn't too anxious because the markets are absorbing the trade war news without crashing the u.s. growth is good unemployment is low that's a signal to Trump that he can pull the rug out from8/42
under the Chinese by declaring the negotiations are in trouble and screw out some more concessions from the Chinese are to the deal middle finger addition on another level stalling and stringing out the negotiations pleases a major Beltway constituency the China Hawks they see a trade crisis as a major boost to their plans to decouple the u.s. and Chinese economies tariff stress and Chinese retaliation encourage more9/42
US companies and international investors to break links with China and move production and money to safer homes in East and South Asia and maybe even back to the United States the most aggressive and vocal anti-china Hawks typify by Steve Bannon have called for not even pretending we want a trade deal and instead moving on to open economic warfare with the People's Republic of China Steve Bannon10/42
we're in an economic war with China it's futile to compromise not only does this weaken the People's Republic of China economically it quarantined China from the West making a pure containment and confrontation strategy easier and less costly to implement the Chinese Communist Party underdone shellping had absorbed the lesson that the USSR fell because of its isolation and China conducted a wildly successful campaign to embed the11/42
People's Republic of China into the international system instead the us-china Hawks are determined to break that link or at least weaken it enough so that there will be minimal Western opposition to US economic and military warfare against China in addition to the civilian trade thing the Pentagon is using its coercive levers to persuade businesses and universities to sever their links with the PRC if they want12/42
to keep feeding at Uncle Sam's mill SEC trough and if you think liberals and progressives might be standing up for engagement and multilateralism forget about it it turns out American hegemony has been the real psychological crutch for Americans of all ideological stripes since the end of World War two and Democratic politicians are just as eager as a Republican counterparts to take on China and keep America13/42
on top here's what hoover progressive Matt Stoller had to say on Twitter a Chinese order is terrifying there really is a global struggle for freedom beginning so it is my assumption that underneath the back-and-forth of the trade negotiations coupling of the United States from the People's Republic of China will grind on in every sector not just punitive trade in investment policies also in escalated cyber warfare14/42
which hunts in academia and exclusion of PRC backed outlets from the US media sphere as to where all this leads it probably leads to the Philippines and Taiwan when China was just a cute little communist panda well an impoverished Chinese panda unable to project power into the Pacific the United States gave up two of its precious pearls from the so called first island chain necklace of15/42
China containment Taiwan and the Philippines in 1978 the United States withdrew its military assistance Advisory Group from Taiwan as part of the normalization process with the People's Republic of China in 1992 in the wake of the Marcos unpleasantness in the Philippines the United States military was ordered to vacate a massive naval base at Subic Bay and its Clark Air Force Base the Pentagon has yearned to16/42
return to the Philippines and Taiwan ever since and the economic and military rise of China and its assertiveness in the South China Sea and the Taiwan Strait has created a much more favorable set of conditions for the United States a formal US military alliance with an independent Republic of Taiwan might be the Pentagon's ultimate prize but the Taiwan project is still a work in progress the17/42
pro US DPP party holds the presidency in Taiwan but its policy of pivoting away from engagement with the mainland and toward Japan and the United States does not yet have a lock on public and electoral sentiment the DPP and its friends in the Pentagon and Japan are gearing up for a rather desperate fight for the presidential elections in 2020 the DPP got totally waxed in their18/42
midterms this year and there is genuine anxiety that voters might pivot back to the mainland friendly KMT party or almost as bad reelect Tsai with much less than a mandate to continue the standoff with Beijing declarations that any electoral outcome favoring the pro engagement KMT are illegitimate thanks to PRC subversion and info or manipulation are virtually preordained in DPP circles and in America's think-tank a Stan19/42
in fact accusations have already surfaced and also serve as the template for the anti Chinese influence campaigning in Australia and the United States but all in all the battle to gain Taiwan for America looks to be rather difficult things might go better in the Philippines the current president of Rodrigo Duterte is wildly popular inside the Philippines even though he is execrated in pro US international circles20/42
as a China appeasing murdering lout but Duterte is termed out and there will be a new president elected same as Taiwan in 2020 maybe Team America can get a pro US candidate in there maybe they can't but in any case whoever it is will probably have less stroke than Duterte the Philippine military on the other hand isn't going anywhere is staunchly Pro US and is already21/42
working with its counterparts in the Pentagon to push the Philippines into the China confrontation space in recent weeks the Philippine Minister of Defense Delfin Lorenzana obtained a public affirmation from US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo that the u.s. Philippine mutual defense treaty would cover any attack on the Philippine military in the South China Sea then anti-china litigators obtained a favorable ruling from the Philippine Supreme Court22/42
ordering the government to protect the environment at Scarborough Shoal that's an unoccupied land form controlled by China and a longtime flashpoint for Chinese Philippine friction in the South China Sea it also told the Philippine government to protect the environment at misty freef which is a totally man-made island created by the chinese island building operation within the philippine 200 nautical mile exclusive economic zone top philippine court23/42
orders government to protect South China Sea and the Philippine Navy joyed Japan India and the United States for what it called a joint transit exercise in the South China Sea so what do we have here we have a constitutional charge for the Philippine government to protect land forms controlled by China in the South China Sea formal US backing for the Philippine military in case of a24/42
clash with China in the South China Sea and the Philippine Navy joining the us-led China containment alliance in operations in the South China Sea things could get interesting if to tart a successor as president in 2020 decides to put all these pieces in motion together how interesting fortunately not this interesting Lorenzana rejects proposal for Philippines to develop nuclear weapons but things might get interesting enough that25/42
the People's Republic of China might withdraw from a major international treaty that's the United Nations Convention on the law of the sea known by its initials as UNCLOS or own clause in the previous episode of China Watch I discussed an interesting gambit by the PRC to use own clause to demand that foreign warships avoid the Taiwan Strait uncle are states that if a continental state also26/42
controls on island it can demand that warships engaged in innocent passage not use the Strait and instead take an alternate route in the case of Taiwan this would mean warships could be required to sail up the Eastern or Pacific side of Taiwan on the way from point A to point B instead of using the Taiwan Strait that is if everybody accepted that Taiwan is indeed sovereign27/42
territory of the People's Republic of China unfortunately for the PRC that is not the case most nations follow the lead of the United States in acknowledging that the People's Republic of China is the sovereign power on the Chinese mainland but not sovereign over Taiwan so look for the United States to continue to sail up and down the Taiwan Strait and in fact persuade other navies to28/42
come along to humiliate the PRC and demonstrate the limits of its power you can add to that the fact that the United States Navy has declared it has no obligation to respect any 12-mile territorial sea when the territory of an island is disputed as many of the Chinese islands in the South China Sea are and now China faces the threat that the Philippine government backed by29/42
the US military will seek to enforce its environmental protection obligations on land forms controlled by China in the South China Sea as specified in the enclose arbitration award to the Philippines concerning PRC claims in the South China Sea all in all one Clause has turned into a pretty big liability for the PRC in its confrontation with the United States and US allies therefore it is not30/42
too surprising that the idea of China withdrawing from the own closed regime is being floated this possibility was raised in a piece for the diplomat by mark Valencia a consultant to the PRC government who has also written in the international press on the Taiwan Strait issue might China withdraw from the law of the sea treaty analysis withdrawing from a major international treaty would not be a31/42
good look for the PRC especially as it is fighting u.s. characterization of China as a rogue state but the countervailing argument is that the United States itself is not a signatory to own clause and PRC withdrawal would level the playing field with the United States by allowing China to unilaterally declare its interpretations of its obligations instead of subjecting itself to the mercies of own clothes and32/42
its dispute resolution system in other words behave just like Uncle Sam does call it super power parity Valencia Road China would then be legally free to pick and choose the conventions provisions and interpret them in its favor just as the US does now China's withdrawal from the Convention would weaken it and the authority of its dispute settlement mechanism China may welcome that as it seeks to33/42
alter the interpretation of international law in its favor at the least it would give notice that China is not to be trifled with and it would also give the PRC more latitude to play hardball on the Senkakus and offshore oil concessions disputed with the Philippines in Vietnam including the vital Reed Bank energy play off the Philippine Coast it's not a pretty scenario and that's the whole34/42
point the PRC is hinting it's willing to get pretty ugly if its maritime neighbors keep following the u.s. playbook how bad will things get well how bad things get will probably be a function of how the elections in the Philippines and Taiwan go so mark your calendars for a possible war in 2020 [Music] finally Australia apparently in 2009 the Australian intelligence community decided its ticket to35/42
the big time would be tag teaming with the United States on the China threat the threats specifically being that Australian politicians would decide that economic engagement with China made more sense than a mil sec alliance with the United States against China Australia was an early adopter on the u.s. ban on highway the telecommunications company Australia consulted with the United States to roll out foreign influence laws36/42
applied against penetration by PRC leaning individuals in Australian politics business and academia and Australia worked with the United States to try and rollback PRC influence in Australia's Polynesian backyard including Papua New Guinea and the Solomon Islands a decade ago lining up with the United States distant pond China must have seemed like a no brainer for Australian spooks it was the best way maybe the only way37/42
to ensure the continued clout and relevance of a second-tier European colonial Enclave ill-equipped to face the demographic economic and military challenge of rising Asia but it hasn't quite worked out that way Australia instead of leading the charge of the Caucasian democracies into Asia to roll back the chai cons is finding itself alone at the end of a rather long and shaky limb Australia and the United38/42
States are the only members of the five eyes American led surveillance consortium supporting a full Huawei band the UK Canada and New Zealand despite intense US pressure haven't opted in New Zealand went so far as to sign on to China's belt and Road initiative Papua New Guinea is cultivating its China ties even as it sucks in cash from the United States and Australia there's a slowdown39/42
in Australian exports to China that's probably politically driven in response to this rather dismaying turn of events after a couple years of strident and continual anti-chinese rhetoric driven by the Australian security agencies and their allies in the local media now china has been virtually invisible as an issue in the upcoming Australian parliamentary elections which might result in a switch from liberal to Labour rule not because40/42
China isn't an issue it's because both parties see little benefit in raising the issue and making matters worse the biggest China noise out of Australia in recent weeks ex Prime Minister Paul Keating of the Labour Party he ripped the security agencies for leading Australia into a geopolitical dead-end on China declaring when the security agencies are running forward policy that mutters are in charge that wasn't all41/42
as the Daily Mail's headline tells us Australia's security agencies are run by mothers who have been going broke oh that's Australian for berserk at the Chinese since a journalist wrote a report for Aussie oh that's the Australian security intelligence organization on their influence says X p.m. well there you have it I think Australia or at least Paul Keating has finally got it right maybe it's not