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TEDx Talks
Published: 2015-09-15
Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uRdQ_2sjF2s
once upon a time there was in the west a mighty empire cold the Roman Empire and the Romans had a very interesting map off the world is a small small world in which Europa ASEAN and Africa work closely connected with each other and America was no where to be seen then the world became divided and has become divided until now into some two hundred political units
cold nation states and they are divided along the lines all penitentiary and along the lines of sovereignty and many all of this nation states are members of a global body called the United Nations what about the future can you imagine what the future world would look like here we have to think the Chinese for it lots play because the future world as I saw it the
other day when I gazed my crystal bowl that's the world's will be connected by high speed railway looking something like this you may wonder how did this all happen and other Chinese really able to connect the world by high speed railway well my answer is yes %HESITATION to a great extent the Chinese can do that supports that onza I've got a plan and this plan of
mine consists of two parts one part is about history and we should try to drool lessons from the past to inform our present and present as being my second part of my plan try to explore with all of you watch China our has been doing recently and what China is likely to do in the near future in the development of high speed rail industry if we
look at history we don't need to look too far back because the development of high speed railway in China %HESITATION has been only about ten years or so and the Chinese did this verse motley by introducing a full set of train from countries like pan from dry many from Franz from Canada and then through a pro says what engineers often called reverse engineering the Chinese engineers
disassemble the whole train into us small pox in the methodological mana step by step and then we built from the basics the small pots into a whole train and through this pro says in a simple way the Chinese learn the skills of beauty a high speed rail but of course one has to greet a few credits are Chinese engineers they'll also very smart and be able
to even put their own skills that technology into the system today spent that now China has the largest high speed rail network in any single country in the world measuring some sixteen thousand kilometers which is about half the world's total and this number by the way is increasing over time so if you look at the future the near future list we can examine to what extent
China's is involved in the global markets of high speed rail industry and that is something astonishing is a wobbling thirty four percent and that percentage is increasing over time as well as estimated by US scholars and specialists okay what China is doing at present and into the near future is also of interest because China is negotiating with some twenty to thirty countries around the world in
order to built %HESITATION systems of high speed radios in countries in Asia in Africa in Latin America and you owned let me give you a few examples in Asia fest China has a plan to build a high speed rail system from a Chinese city of Quinn Ming in southwest China to connect with the NTN of loans and then all the way down to connect with Bangkok
and Kuala Lumpur to the southern tip of the Malaysian peninsula Singapore and not the line is from Quinn meeting in China to Hanoi balls Vietnam and then along the coastline of Vietnam too hot you mean city and then turned west to connect up with Cambodia Phnom Penh and then bank called the gain and then to be an ma and onwards and eventually this pan Asian network
is going to be connected with the Eurasian network through China and Africa is also an image ring interesting example the Chinese government %HESITATION in fact is primarily jockey out last year announced that China will connect old D. fifty four capitals of Africa by high speed rail eventually and here I'll give you one example all a line connecting %HESITATION Aggies about the capital of Ethiopia two G.
puti keep both T. is very interesting because is off great strategic importance because is situated at the mouth of the Red Sea connecting to the Gulf of aid and an almost to the Arabian Sea and there are proposals I tried to built %HESITATION a breach over the statue of land between the Arab world which is South Yemen have to connect with East Africa if that bridge
is built or if that seed tunnel is built sort and a high speed we can go through then East Africa will be connected with the Arab world another interesting point of theirs %HESITATION line here is from Addis Ababa there is also a proposal to built a line westwards to south Sudan and then still westwards to Central African Republic and then to Cameroon to the coast facing
the Atlantic Ocean so imagine connecting the Atlantic Ocean of Cameroon all the way to the Arab world isn't that amazing and the amazing story happens in Latin America well this story is becoming true these days because China Brazil as well as Peru have signed agreements to do a feasibility studies to build a line across the continent connecting the Atlantic coast of Brazil all the way to
the Pacific coast of Peru not only these two countries are interested in this project because it's going to boost trade transportation communication people and so on other neighboring countries are also very interested in this because they want to join into this line to develop economy together so instead of what Brazil is doing currently when trading with Asia Brazil has to go through ida the Panama Canal
through Central America or it has to go by shipping through the southern tip of Latin America and then cross the Pacific Ocean to China to Korea Japan and that India but with this line in place then things would speed up a lot be your own these three continents there is also the proposal to build the world's longest railway line into will buy high speed system connecting
London and New York and apart from what he's proposal has been made by both of Russia and by China and to give us a for example with Canada and agreement with the U. S. this line can be built the major obstacle off this line is in fact the seed separating side area and Alaska if something can be built aceto across the Bering Strait separating Russia Far
East and Alaska of the U. S. A. at this things measuring about three hundred kilometers which is this learns about for those who know who Europe is about five times the length of the euro tunnel connecting Britain and France the difficulty with this project here as the very severe punishing whether in that sort of climate I think because for engineers and engineers I'm sure they can
do it if they want to do it so that's a huge project that all these projects are of course part and parcel of the so called new souk road system that Preston's seating ping announced in late twenty thirteen consisting of two major components one by land the other by sea connecting some sixty four countries along the way representing about sixty percent of the global population and
around thirty percent of the global GDP the global economy so is that a new globalization into making I would argue is likely to be although it is likely to be slow incremental instead of a big shift in terms of the change of geopolitics a point to which I'll go to very shortly okay the big question S. west the money coming from all these major America projects
yes so very nice %HESITATION can we share the findings of this what the Chinese has proposed as you are aware several major read you know %HESITATION international banks such as the Asian infrastructure investment bank such as the bricks bank or call it's the new developments band and also the Chinese has initiated his own which is the new Silk Road %HESITATION fund and all these mechanisms %HESITATION
have %HESITATION huge amount of money ranging from forty billion US dollars in the case of the super low seat wrote %HESITATION fund to buy about a hundred billion US dollars in terms of the authorized capital does and apart from these %HESITATION regional %HESITATION initiatives China's own state owned banks also can help %HESITATION banks such as the export import bank of China the China construction bank and
the China Development Bank and in fact the China Development Bank has surpassed did the World Bank in terms of extending the amount of looms and it was China dividends Development Bank has become the largest %HESITATION lenda of loons to the third world to build infrastructure so here we have political will and we have some solo off of financial support so what are the implications for the
world basically I will %HESITATION concentrate focus on two points one is geopolitics there seems to be a new balance of power developing here one in Eurasia or Central Asia where Russia and China a competing for influence the other is to was China's Asia Pacific coast is a competition all cooperation with the U. S. A. over influence invests off area especially in the American facing the American
soul cold at pivot to Asia so somehow China has to balance between is maritime security on the one hand and also the land Alda are on the other the second point which I like to share with you as that's often new sort of global in the home in the making are with these are interesting features such as the focus on building infrastructure on a win win
mutually beneficial formula by co financing is not only China but also the host countries are who are building these networks of systems of where ways and it is led by economic growth on a little or no strings attached %HESITATION formula that China areas are proposing sold these major features if you like and I'm trying to think and to find an appropriate concept or a key word
to capture the spirit and the essence of these various characteristics and here's something food for thought for us and this is the word geo New York functionalism %HESITATION function alone functionalism because it is led by economic growth and is dealing with human welfare %HESITATION and it is based on the aimed at the hope of building peace through incremental steps and Neil because it is still despite
China's %HESITATION market mashes these days is still very much a state %HESITATION managed if not controlled system of running %HESITATION political economy and geo because it deals with your politics and you owe economics so that's a new word that I would like to share with you patent five years from now if you were honest where did you first hear about this Robert clumsy word then you
can say with full confidence that you heard that in a Ted talk in Seoul won't you and second day I would like you to imagine the future of high speed rail system you are familiar with is %HESITATION map which I so early on %HESITATION let us concentrate and focus on the area around north East Asia well eventually and hopefully a kind of a ring road can
be built %HESITATION connecting %HESITATION both north and South Korea Japan Russia and China through high speed rail and over bridges and tunnels making the east see policy of Japan kind of an even land too late in northeast Asia so I'll share a dream with you as we have been talking about Julian's I dream of one day that we can take a high speed rail trouble from
Seoul all the way up north T. palm yeah and with the agreement of the supreme leader we can trouble all the way to London in the fall west all want to New York in the Far East oh yes is New York in the Far East how the world would have changed by then and more than that we don't have to take a flight a plane from
so too are the Beijing or to read the Vostok in order to join the euro express line and initiative proposed by your president madam park he started in July and finished about one week ago that's the hope that ladies and gentlemen thank you so much for sharing this hope and dream with me comes out on the dock
