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Title: While America Freaks Out, Asia Quietly Goes Crazy
Published: 2017-03-01
Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hTfgLnDtC7I
Title: While America Freaks Out, Asia Quietly Goes Crazy
Published: 2017-03-01
Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hTfgLnDtC7I
1/41
our I am Peter Lee and this is news bugs China watch this week China had its hands full dealing with dangerous and rapidly evolving security situations South Asia Xinjiang North Korea and the South China Sea last week I looked at the recent string of attacks in Pakistan and attributed them to state sponsored terrorism facilitated by Indian and Afghan security service that opinion got plenty of support2/41
on the hawkish side of Pakistan media when you're a crown Pakistan's ex ambassador to the UN declared we know the hostile powers that have sponsored these attacks the intelligence agencies Afghanistan and India more significantly prime minister Nawaz Sharif made the same point the more obliquely but also more officially during a state visit to Turkey he told a press conference that involvement of foreign hands behind terrorist3/41
activities in Pakistan not beat then Pakistan did something clever the immediate aftermath of the massacre at say one was a leave of Pakistani anger at Afghanistan for harboring the attackers but after a round of cross border shelling denunciations and demands that seventy six terrorists be handed over Pakistan pulled back and direct confrontation with Afghanistan Mead nice very in the words of the Pakistan media while in4/41
Turkey sure reef held out an olive branch to Afghanistan stating that Pakistan would participate in the construction the shower couple motorway significantly chief of army staff Qamar job that bottle the number one guy in the Pakistani military reportedly told a meeting of commanders Pakistan and Afghanistan I fought against terrorism and shall continue this effort together now any time Pakistan's civilian and military leadership are all on5/41
the same page and talking restraint it's bad news for India it relies on the narrative that there is no Pakistan nation just a rogue terrorist Aristide run by the army Pakistan's foreign office continued to charm offensive ignoring any shenanigans the Afghan security services characterizing Afghanistan is something of a helpless victim enemy in other words indeed this looks to me like determined and disciplined Pakistan counter program6/41
probably was Chinese and Russian coordination against an Indian gambit to derail that Russia sponsored Afghanistan peace process Pakistan is looking eagerly to Afghanistan to reciprocate India is looking on nervously with good reason India does not have a terribly strong hand in Afghanistan US wants to draw down the couple government is not very sturdy Pakistan on the other hand has the powerful Afghan Taliban Russia and China7/41
in its corner and now it looks like it has the confidence and unity take a hit like the recent terror we still reach out to Afghanistan indications are Pakistan will not rise to the bait and will not escalate hostilities with Afghanistan stead Pakistan and China and Russia but instead use the attacks as a wake up call prove relations with Afghanistan India's spots and it looks like8/41
China is also directly leveraging its purity relationship with Afghanistan pull it into the P. R. C.'s orbit would be another rebuff to India's ambitions of Afghanistan the Financial Times reported that China and Afghanistan were apparently doing some kind of announced a joint patrolling operation at the China Afghanistan border presumably to prevent trafficking fighters and weapons tweet Afghanistan China's Xinjiang Uygur autonomous region you might remember from9/41
last week's China watch that I said first major projection of P. R. C. military power beyond its borders could be into Africa this looks IP to start as China extended its reach into Afghanistan it also escalated its response to militancy issues on its own side of the border television viewers in Xinjiang treated to a remarkable spectacle and then Jenyns you don't draw doubles do you does10/41
it brought you bought it we want don't it was you know so when you know does all use it is you know you get all the thing you know so this was one of three rallies and televised patrols by armed police and security services in the main cities of Shinji are the capital room chi chi scar and hear a whole ton which has seen several attacks11/41
by Uighurs against Han Chinese the rallies were apparently intended to signal that there's a new sheriff in town namely new Xinjiang Communist Party chief Chun trim or according to V. O. a the government also announced a reward fund of one hundred million RMB about fourteen million dollars just for court time the government promised rewards for everything two million yen for thwarting a terrorist attack two thousand12/41
yeah for informing on Uighur men sporting Islamic years women Rick Berke she and John is well on its way becoming one of the world's most pervasive surveillance states packed with cops snitches soldiers and agents with an extensive network of CCT cameras facial recognition software and now mandatory police install GPS tracking when all vehicles the goal is an overwhelming presence that is supposed to bring the police13/41
response to a street incident within a minute centers the new campaign is a sign that winning hearts and minds it's perhaps not the highest priority for the CCP initiate job it is also a sign but the local CCP cadre network engineer shown itself cowed co opted were incompetent unable to prevent ran to separate attacks state security services the most effective instrument government authority emission job this14/41
massive show of force also looks like a way of escalating threat perception inside and outside Han China those who scoff at P. R. C. counter insurgency strategy as ham fisted and counterproductive should read a sobering article by Joss me kids a graduate student at Columbia University in an article for small wars journal Megan's Leuchter rushes subjugation of Chechen China probably regards as the closest analogue its15/41
own problems you're Megan's concludes that for authoritarian regime doing and unhappy ethnic enclave she hearts and minds to it not on the battle for they're in the homes as long as the homeland accepts the necessity have legitimacy maximum force the government can apply on the battlefield chance access bottom line CCP wants to keep a lid on she jock especially in the run up to nineteen party16/41
Congress in order she Jing ping leads to obtain Fuhrman Dorsten of these policies leadership curious she and accession strategy but it incidents to occur CCP will not flinch from a harsh response may even welcome it in order to feed Xinjiang heightened threat narrative both to a domestic audience China's the as China makes its moves in Central Asia and Africa it also has to deal with its17/41
perennial U. S. related headaches North Korea and the South China Sea sweet both those headaches on February twenty fifth news came out that the talks we North Korea and the United States cancel probably because of the murder of Kim Jong use half brother him Joan not in Malaysia US state department fused issue a visa to director general the American affairs bureau your keys industry last week18/41
speculated that the murder was a clever move North Korea to remove Kim Jong nam as possible figure it in a post communist North Korea this would make a U. S. south Korean regime change strategy less attractive and make you S. North Korea negotiate worked for to clever may it looks like the global hubbub over the murder simply to North Korea probably thought it could count on19/41
Malaysia to kind of keep a lid on things Malaysia just the opposite it refused to give up the box it conducted an autopsy it announced the results told the world the poison used was VX nerve each the WMD said it was preparing to decontaminate wallop work airport end it issued an arrest warrant for north Korean diplomats without Malaysia smoothing things over state sponsored angle is pretty20/41
hard to avoid only a few nations stocks of VX North Korea is reportedly one of it looks like a team of killers was needed the nerve agent is best delivered it binaries you set but I mean that lethal state after a couple Victor otherwise the VX might have killed or sickened bystanders where the assassins skip as for detecting V. excellent autopsy that apparently isn't that hard21/41
since identifying traces of VX is a major focus for the chemical weapons could %HESITATION maybe worth Korea was apparent that it's their one of the few countries in the world never joined and maybe they were keeping up on the technical bullets when really wonders what the north Koreans were thinking and employing so complex easily detected one assassination technique I will leave false flag your eyes to22/41
others any major ask China I think is rather frustrated by this development its preferred endgame is U. S. DPRK negotiations excluding some sort of peace North Korea in place and reduces the risk of militarized regime gambit that might could hostile troops into North Korea I believe China publicly cut off cold purchases from North Korea attracted a rare show of public anger from the deep okay so23/41
it could resume ward North Korea later on for nations not to be for now DPRK response to the breakdown of talks another provocation like just end up back at zero or maybe less than going to America's other favorite each topic South China Sea picketers made their move by releasing photos of military related structure the man made our alleged PRC see photos were released by the center24/41
for security and International Studies Washington think tank I call pivot central showed construction maybe eat twelve buildings on three islands each ring tractable roofs indication that they were intended to house each Q. nine surface to air missile batteries to defend the islands against missile Hershey Jim pings undertakings to rock Obama P. R. C. reserves the right but offensive facilities on those islands something that I could25/41
justify since US conducted amphibious assault exercises Philippines last year that were interpreted as threat and indeed apparently last year the P. R. C. did already install some short range anti aircraft guns so called close in weapons system knocking got missiles and the United States did not make any so the new structures are not quite crossing any red lines on militarization specially it's no actual surface to26/41
air missile batteries stalled yet and in any case the United States is quite confident of its ability to reduce these CPOs pilots to rubble no matter what defense they have but H. Q. nine missiles are high tech weapons equivalent to the U. S. patriot system with a range of two hundred kilometers and the speed of bark for if each Q. nights actually show up on the27/41
man made islands I think there's going to be a pretty big fuss from the overmatched smaller nations Regis structure of these facilities apparently commenced in October and November of last year presumably have been under the continual surveillance of U. S. spy satellites whichever reported resolution of ten inches so what we get this a release of crappy commercial imagery in mid February I think it is a28/41
way to keep US government fingerprints off the release while at the same time making things awkward Philippine president retreat good to tear today and his policy of bilateral engagement the problem China photos make the case to nations of the region but the P. R. C. is taking advantage of Philippine appeasement to get more military gear on the islands and so happens that the nations of the29/41
region showed up in the Philippines last week because the Philippines hosting ASEAN foreign ministers so the Philippines department of foreign affairs forced to address the issue by Vietnam and perhaps other unhappy still behind closed stores the official communique contained the usual mush no mention of China said on the South China Sea a number of ministers expressed concern over recent developments in escalation of activities in the30/41
air which may reap further raised tensions and rode trust and confidence but Philippine foreign affairs secretary Perfecto Jassy genial host got a little carried away in displaying solidarity with us you and not acting like a Chinese to his press conference USA stated that the members of a C. on had in his words noticed very unsettling only China has installed weapon systems in these facilities that they31/41
have established and they have expressed strong concern about this this caused a kerfuffle and the Chinese foreign ministry over three days develop the story ya se was talking through his hat I see I wasn't worried that much collectively the P. R. C. does have a point insofar as Cambodia the block any formal unanimous ASEAN consensus criticizing each and it was probably mainly Vietnam and maybe Malaysia32/41
Indonesia and Singapore raping in the meeting and you also used up the smoothest and most articulate of diplomats intends to trip over his own tongue while wrangling difficult topics maybe wishing it kept his mouth closed on this one but he didn't and maybe he didn't care a temporary appointee supposed to leave office in a couple to make room for it charity loyalist secretary of fares worst33/41
case for China yes I was obligingly advancing and anti Pearcy strategy promoted by staff in the department of foreign affairs which is a hot bed of crow U. S. sentiment yes a statement did provide a good indication that some ASEAN members are not happy the U. S. China security competition playing out in the South China Sea and would be very unhappy if it escalated to China34/41
actually putting HQ nine surface to air missile batteries Spratlys opposition to island militarization is a case I. ASEAN is in a better position to make that that it states only her standing South China Sea freedom of navigation issue pro U. S. ASEAN members and factions the Philippines foreign affairs establishment could get demilitarization of land feature in the South China Sea on the agenda China ASEAN code35/41
of conduct never be could China will remain in that attacking the stick relationship with us which is just the way the U. S. likes it so yes a statement wasn't unwelcome poke in the eye for China one that might have been responsible for the sudden postponement of the Chinese delegation specter did the Philippines to sign agreements forty joint projects billions president to territory had to do36/41
some hurt damage control assuring China if that misunderstood yes age Robert clear remarks everything was good China and the Philippines the knives are getting sharpen for detective right now last thing he needs for the wheels to come off as China projects courtesy of sabotage by the United States and his own department for fares the opposition put forth to associates of the territories from death squad days37/41
at the vial click to charity personally ordered a series of murders the territory is also in political hot water for arresting one of the most aggressive critics of his drug war Layla dilemma on drug charges her own a tear to its most vocal opponent Antonio to be honest the fourth how to have do charity jail the Manila established up in arms Turkey inches away from the38/41
keno people power legacy cozy up to the Marcos Catholic Church moving toward a position of open opposition to hurt but rock player Philippine voice of pro American globalism positioning itself and the resistance media space that Washington post and New York times occupy against top truck it is even added mood icons to its new store and it looks like all the to Turkey stories are running angry39/41
the U. S. really is plotting to remove to Turkey from office as a reporter in the middle of Times alleged it looks like everything is pretty much going according to plan that it's going to make China sweat finally tough times call for tough politicians M. tough journals China chest decades of experience in dealing with adversarial western reporters actually opened up bouquet appear both politicians and journalists40/41
with a rough and tumble of media work Europe of resistance here's a peek just getting that's come to master weighty albeit demonstrating his treatment various gentleman's problems that's all for this week thanks for watching if you're watching this on you too good news but dot com we'll find exclusive content available only to the news but commute I'm Peter early for news puts China watch WNED for41/41
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