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TEDx Talks
Published: 2012-10-10
Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JSdNxtHL7lc
I work with day in any project that we got sixty eight years ago us that future is part of the United Nations I need the last three years they have also been working at singularity diversity that it wants about your what about later let me let you project we have offices all around the world including here in Brazil and we publish every get a report about
the future of humanity I'm down at this yeah actually we talk about Latin America I did you have two thousand thirty on how things are going to be that yet the thousand thirty okay are three years ago I university west created with Google and now I know we have many other sponsors to prepared humanity for what he's going to call me the next twenty to thirty
years I got one of those things obviously is energy that that big energy source to the plot it obviously is a solar power you look at the amount of solar part where we receive need one aguardo solar power what we receive energy for about our one whole year one now where of solar energy for one year then we have other sources like with energy and so
on how about their problems like global warming global warming as you know Israel global warming is happening okay so we have to consider one of the big issues is not only energy but also the environment energy is changing in different ways and each wave is cleaner on it house less probable which is the bottom part the carbon so we are going through at the carbon isolation
of energy I'm the creation also over an energy internet this was a concept that was on invented almost forty years ago and now I I actually has received that maybe that internet energy internet I'm this would connect the whole planet and we will move from there the energy it to clean energy with a whole lot it connected through these energy internet our besides that also we
are moving to biofuels by your energy on groceries up why where in the world in terms of biofuels okay on that very thought scientists call Craig venter who is also one of our faculty I'd figured out at the university on his working on artificial bacteria that will produce biofuels are the so this is one of the new innovations in energy coming out energy also insurance about
solar power where if we calming and increasing exponentially I'm the cost is the grief that exponentially in the next for years we are going to reach what is called grid parity rip party deep when solar energy is going to be calm cheaper than fossil fuel energy I'm not that time the whole planet would move into solar energy our if we need it to buy what you
might need to would solar energy we basically only need six blocks it some of it their sense of the planet V. six blocks it's one of a hundred kilometers by a hundred kilometers that would produce enough electricity for civilization today so it actually is not so much land that we need in that are Europe together with North Africa the are working on a project called that's
our thank that's our tech in the next twenty to thirty yes they want to prove the US all day energy that Europe needs from North Africa I'm this is just beginning did say negotiations but this will be fun thought that it would be like a Saudi Arabia of solar energy for Europe I'm just think what happened here need it in the Americas regressive than New York
Saudi Arabia of solar power for for the Americas and we are going to have all kinds of solar powered and emails like this solar donkey I'm also a solar panel okay that we have a solar combo we would find where humanity every part of the world including Africa I that is the dark continent so far with electricity in the next twenty years because we're going to
have this and our net energy internet connected the whole planet and energy eventually will be three energy is going to be like the internet that basically it's going to be everywhere free arm NASA has a plan for that yet twenty twenty about a space based solar power I'm this would work with this kind of solar satellites orbiting planet earth I'm then these energy would be banned
throw microwaves to planet earth the Japanese are working on something similar on by the year two thousand thirteen they want to begin by we're in Tokyo with this electricity coming from outer space where this song never says this song never sets in outer space so this is continuous energy source all the time I'm we need this energy because also we will begin finally exploring space we
are going to leave our work tiny planet in the next ten to twenty years to begin with finally born colonies on Mars colonies I'm for that we need a lot of energy are these is that how how very complicated as scale which is called the cargo ship energy a scale cargo ship website is her Russian scientists and astrophysicist who computed them uncle of energy in the
universe and he talked about three different types of civilisation if you really think some type one is a civilization that you're so full of energy available so it's planets you know we're case planet earth we receive a hundred and seventy there are wires a over I'm solar energy continuously from the sun that would make us to be such a pipe one but we are very far
from being civilization type one I'm then there will be a civilization type two when we was there solar power in this solar system I'm civilization type three I think you say somebody with a focus on our energy in our galaxy and eventually I think really say shut tight five which would be all the energy available to the universe and that is have big big number if
you look at the bottom here it's one time spent with the forty six wives off by where it's available in the universe so we are babies estate in terms of energy we are babies we are not even close to V. civilization pipe one to give your I. norther of might be to the home of how much energy I'm part where we have a human body drug
use has sent consumes about a hundred wives we are a hundred watt machines I know where brain actually requirements thirteen what's their brain is the most energy intensive organ of the body thirty watts so we could talk a lot about energy but I I invite you to watch Discovery Channel Latin America there is less serious which is called Latin America two thousand are one hundred eleven
I think was the adviser for the energy program so I hope that you can watch the C. Discovery Channel Latin America but I want to talk more about the future and what is going to happen besides energy I'm sort that are I like my father that they've most famous Argentinian philosopher and you know when people ask my files them what is the future as you say
well this huge sure is no longer where you'll still be so my father is a very famous philosopher and future if we talk about four ways of looking at the future for ways first deposit out you don't like an ostrich that hides its head I'm doesn't want to see what is going to happen their worst possible type of future if you don't want to know what
is going to happen second is to be reactive when you'll prepare for something your response like cap firefighter that effort copies reactive when you want to really prepare for something happening but that forest on best type of future is is to be pro active proactive so that you can build the future you can construct the future you want to be so I hope that there are
no ostrich just here but if there are almost three just I hope that you are technological ostriches okay you think technology to change the world our three years ago singularity university was created with that it is helpful part of NASA on Google this university is located in Silicon Valley in California we have hot as students from all over the planet in this room we have for
all but one student form of art where students are here in this room and I talk to you before sought we want to have more Brazilians we want to have more people from all over the world because I wear mission is to use technology to change their world for the better I'm at the idea of the singularity might not be known to all of you eh
please raise your hand if you're not what does he get out of these have you heard about the technological singularity then decides that was popularized by one on a mighty engineer called great course while he wrote this book that's a good idea is the air in two thousand five and this has been the most widely sold book in Amazon dot com in science and technology and
he talks about the singularity house that time when technology changes so far has that humans cannot keep track with the technology I'm less we enhance ourselves unless we modify ourselves with the technology itself there is another sort our definition of the singularity which is that time them moments we're not the fish have intelligence Richard human intelligence level I'm that is the last invention that humans will
ever made because after having intelligence appear to human intelligence there is nothing that we can do unless we have hounds I wear clothes with technology now how can you know that if this is going to happen if you look at the transit which you are more slow Gordon Moore was the founder of Intel cofounder of beat them and he discovered that every two years computers double
their power I'm they become cheaper I'm this trend continues continues this is I'm not ready to make a scale let me show you what has happened in the last thirty years thirteen years ago we used the IBM punch cards these past one K. open memory one okay this was an electro a mechanic memory I'm these were invented later that floppy disk over eight each has also
these has one Katie but this one okay was better because the seas armed I like Joe magnetic and this is my kind eco I'm this one you could erase and you could write a gain on so this is better but we had one K. on one K. so thirty years ago we had his spine as they say who got you now it gives Womack data McGugin
yeah own up checking other memoria thirty years ago then we move from this two different more advanced memories you all need will be is probably I know phobias if you're going to Korea and Japan where I also add kids they are producing this new types of memories I that I like legal piece so that you can I've onto them this is a hundred and twenty eight
gigabytes hunger and twenty eight gigabytes so look we have gone from omega Kenya do I hundred and twenty eight gigabytes well you would remember me in twenty years I you would remember their pet Kenya by Venus will be thick I Kenya in twenty years this in twenty years we are going to hop computers more powerful than the human brain I'm glad that these computers that have
more can see stores that %HESITATION they're human brain has neurones army so let me keep on talking about that our time magazine just published recently an article about the singularity one of the consequences of that figure Larry theme is that we would reach she's sick of immortality he'd thought waves on the human heart worked on the human software so let me tell you about that %HESITATION
a few years ago I went to visit Sir Arthur C. Clarke who was one of the most famous futurist on science fiction writers and he wrote half a century ago they three loss of a future no number one when everything was struck elderly scientist states that something is possible he is almost certainly right but when he says it is impossible he is very probably wrong secolo
their only way of discovering the limits of the possible is to venture a little way past them into that he'd be possible on the third low any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic this has a corollary if you see something that doesn't look like magic is because if the if not advanced thirteen years ago we had no personal computers twenty years ago mobile phones where
begin in ten years ago Google was growing what will happen in the next ten twenty thirty years magical things we are going to see magic technologies we are going to have it more telesales we would control the aging process we will have three energy like free internet we will have free energy we will have a space elevators one of our professors for singularity university he's working
on agent and he says that agencies have the fees but if if I curable feces we will keep your agent in the next twenty to thirty years to day he created this prize which is that Matthew solid mouse rise to help Mao's that Edward to live one thousand years like methicillin and today we have miles that leaves three times their expected lifetimes three times today he
then extend yes probably we will have one miles that leaves the equivalent of a thousand human years this is happening now I'd read others fishes we've been happy longer on life responds the national sleep foundation talks about before technologies of the future now known by your even for coke no nanotechnology as that is the outcomes biotechnology believe in sales now no one by you are they
had worked all through life they heard word of life I'm informed cloak know how this software no fly if this software will fly in for studies the beads on problems that is that your arms so we have the hard work of life on this software of life I'm everything is becoming makes with very truck reality not just three of reality about virtual reality on this is
my human genome all of you will have sequence your human genome in the next ten years and you wouldn't know which he sees as you would have in the future but the important thing is not to know which the issues that you would have but how to cure them how to cure the disease has helped to prevent that he sees as you would know where your
family comes from this is my paternal line five hundred years ago my maternal line also five hundred years ago you can reconstruct your family tree and you can construct their descendants that children you once you would choose the jeans you want for the future and create your own descendants I'm this is actually very tip people think this is expensive he was expensive I begin in the
first human genome cost one billion dollars to do now it did not enough you're here this is going to cost about ten dollars on he would be done in one I work so this is the complexity of the hard work okay human body which is three gigabytes the human body is a thirty gigabytes I show you what that pen drive before that has a hundred and
twenty eight gigabytes how many humans can I fit here I can see it here forget to breath Williams on one Argentinean I'm I'm then we would have also the complexity of this software which is the brain what is the complexity and the complexity it basically it aids up on their working on creating an artificial brain see that your two thousand and ten and what is a
brain I brain basically some ashamed that computers dental that seventeen operations per second I'm vis we would reach in the next ten to fifteen years we will hop machines with the computer processing about brain and we would mix with the machines we will mix on we will create better brains than that but we would make sweet guy external brain implants on computers are doing that already